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Dec 22, 2012 12:08 AM by Dave Hovde

Larger storm just before the New Year?

I will be off for a few days around Christmas so I thought it might be time to sum up some of long term prospects for rain.

Rain looks likely Saturday, again late Sunday into Monday and again on Wednesday of next week. However that doesn't look to be the end of the active weather streak. Models have been somewhat consistent in suggesting another strong storm around the 30th to the 1st. But it comes with major questions as well. The current outlook has a cut-off low trying to draw in significant southerly fetch which could soak the Central or Southcoast. But cut-off lows are notorious in the difficulty to pin down even in short term forecasts. The difference in position of 20 or 30 miles in the area of the circulation center can mean the difference between getting nailed or it being a complete dud.

So why mention it? Because of the high side potential, because at this point the system could also soak us on the weekend before New Year which is a time a lot of folks about be traveling.

I invite you to follow us over the next few weeks as it will be active.

Through Wednesday of next week 1-2" is possible for the Central Coast, perhaps even more. Northern CA looks very wet, while Southern CA gets only a glancing blow.

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