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Rain this week may not amount to much but next week could be sig - KSBY.com | San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Area News

Rain this week may not amount to much but next week could be significant

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There is a large low-pressure system to our west, however just because it is large doesn't mean it is particularly strong. 

Clouds are streaming into the Central Coast and while sprinkles are possible anytime into Wednesday. 

We'll be in the warmer sector of the system into Wednesday and later Thursday into Friday a weak cold front will push past us. 

[this is an edit to an earlier weather story to account for forecast changes]

In summation, this storm may not amount to much.  Modeling Tuesday night showed a late arrival of the system Wednesday night into Thursday and with the storm running into dry air in place over the area amounts from .00-.20" should take place.  This is an adjustment down on rain expectations. Rain amounts along the far north coast of SLO county could hit .50" and higher elevations in that area could see even more, but as a rule most will not see that kind of potential.  Inland areas may stay completely dry and rain across Santa Barbara County may not hit .20"  

NW winds on Friday and Saturday will be replaced by offshore NE winds Sunday into Monday, however, models show better potential after that for a wet pattern thru the middle of next week. 

If models have the notes right there is more significant potential during that time frame, enough so that we'll have to ponder the burn areas of the Thomas Fire as a possible area of concern for mudslide and debris flow, but this is getting ahead of ourselves here as it is some time out and models get speculative about the end of the run, just something to keep an eye on at this point models and are subject to a great deal of change.

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