New model shows a potentially very wet beginning of March - KSBY.com | San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Area News

New model shows a potentially very wet beginning of March

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Another weak and area of low pressure will bring in more light showers on Thursday.  Modeling shows the system in two impulses: one early in the day and one in the late evening into early Friday.

The air currently over the area is dry and the storm is not bringing much moisture with it.  This means the potential rainfall is low.  I think a few hundredths of an inch are about it, however, the lack of moisture will also allow the system to be cold and snow levels in the night and morning hours will be as low as 1500-2000ft.  So, another dusting of snow is possible however no advisories are in place for that.

There is, however, an advisory tonight into tomorrow morning for the coastal valleys of the Central Coast for frost.  Inland lows will drop to the mid-20s, while the coastal valleys will see low to mid-30s.

High temperatures Thursday and Friday will only reach the mid to high-50s.

The weekend looks dry.  The current outlook for upcoming rain has a system for Monday with roughly .25” potential (that number could rise).  There is another and larger storm on modeling for late next week.  That storm shows some 2-4” potential in modeling that came out late Thursday.  Could be the first real test for the Montecito area since the debris flows.  This is a long-range model output and more than a week away but regardless will be a time-frame in the forecast to watch.

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