Saturday still very warm before some cooling starts

Posted at 2:11 PM, Oct 11, 2019

The offshore winds over the last few days have driven temperatures above normal and Saturday should be no exception. The air is also very dry, so even though the winds may not be particularly strong the fire weather conditions are still high even though the conditions do not warrant red flag warnings (for a combination of heat, dry air and winds).

I think Saturday will see a lot of highs in the low to mid 80s again at the coastal valleys and interior valleys with only the beaches missing out by staying in the 70s.

Night and morning offshore winds will only be locally strong, with some gusts of 20-25mph but generally the push should be about 5-15mph out of the east.

I also think this dry weather pattern linger thru next week but Sunday thru Tuesday should see some marine layer recovery and some cooling.

Initial views of the long term forecast earlier this month showed some potential for a pattern shift around the 17th and 18th but today the models are indicating we could stay dry thru the end of the month. Hold your breath because warm-dry Octobers and fire risk are a concern. We need the first real rains of the 2019-2020 season to alleviate those concerns.