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Some on and off showers thru Friday but better rain opportunities hold off a few more days

Posted at 2:25 PM, Mar 19, 2020
and last updated 2020-03-19 20:37:28-04

Welcome to spring!

We are still in the conditionally unstable air left in the region. There are continuing opportunities for scattered showers into later Friday. The best chance for these looks to be inland and at higher elevations but chances elsewhere can't be ruled out.

This airmass is still rather cool so highs have been struggling in the 50s and 60s, Saturday looks quieter and a little warmer with mid to upper 60s possible for some before a new trough digs into The West for more rain opportunities Sunday-Wednesday and possibly lingering into Thursday.

Today mid-range models came into better agreement today and reduced rain potential a bit with a .75-1.5" forecast looking decent across the area, however there is actually low confidence in the forecast.

The first low is an upper low and they occasionally baffle models. There is also some other cautions as model blends completely disagree so this portion of the forecast is one to continue to watch for updates.

It is possible that forecast amounts could drop to .25-1". I guess the good news is that there is agreement on rain, and just some caution as to how much. So the best chance in later Sunday-Tuesday. After that potion of the forecast it looks like a cooler low drops in behind the first and could extend showers into Wednesday and Thursday