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Temps will warm into the holiday weekend

Posted at 3:18 PM, May 19, 2020
and last updated 2020-05-19 20:45:59-04

The upper low and trough over The West is still producing a few upper elevation showers this afternoon, once we lose the sun angle today they should diminish. That trough is the reason temps remain rather mild. We also have some onshore wind flow.

That changes a bit Wednesday and Thursday as the pace of the onshore afternoon flow won't be nearly as strong. This will start some warming that most folks will notice. Breezy afternoon conditions are still likely however Wednesday and Thursday.

The tougher call is marine clouds, currently there aren't many but some could reform in the night and morning hours but will liikly clear quickly over the next few mornings at the coast.

I think some Sundowner winds over Santa Barbara county are likely Wednesday and Thursday, wind advisories are possible for gusts that could exceed 40mph.

The general concept of a warming forecast takes a very minor hit Friday when a ripple in the upper air pattern moves thru the Pac NW. This will set temps down a few degrees Friday and possibly Saturday before they rise again Sunday and Monday.

I think most of next week looks on the warm side, inland valleys will see 90s return. I think the real question in the extended forecast is how hot will it be