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Low pressure continues to impact the Central Coast, some rain chances persist

Rain chances return to the Central Coast on a slightly larger scale
Posted at 4:36 AM, Oct 12, 2022
and last updated 2022-10-12 12:43:05-04

Good Morning Central Coast! To kick off our morning there is still some marine fog limiting visibility in coastal areas. Thankfully this is much less than in previous days.

For the entire start of this week we have been contending with a low pressure system sitting just offshore and today will be no different. There are rain chances for some (I'll get to that in a moment) but for the vast majority of the region some added cloud cover and cooler temperatures will be the story.

Temps in the interior valleys are going to be in the 80s, coastal valleys in the 70s and beaches will struggle to leave the low 60s. You may even want to grab an extra layer this morning.

Now lets turn to the headline... rain chances.

The slight area of rain yesterday came in right on schedule, and like expected it was quite minimal. Today all the models are saying that chances are slightly better for rain here on the Central Coast. That being said, I still don't think the chances are particularly good.

There is a bit more potential today with the unstable air mass protruding further onto the Central Coast. There is also some east-to-west steering which potentially could push developed activity west into more populated areas.

A lot of this is elevated convection. This is where low levels are actually quite stable but mid-level moisture combined with heating can trigger rain and thunderstorms. But this activity is conditional, in this case, the condition is heating. We need the warmer temperatures in the interiors and upper elevations for any rain chances to move in.

Chances begin this afternoon and stay for the evening. Only minimal accumulations are expected with a few hundredths of an inch are possible in Santa Barbara County.

Outside of this rain potential, the forecast are an absolute snooze. There is plenty of night and morning cloud cover, in fact, I think it'll be significantly deep Wednesday so I backed coastal temps off a bit but left inland temps where they are.

The upper low eventually trucks over the area this weekend cooling temps down (and taking the minor rain chance with it). Another upper low spins up next week to keep conditions similar to the weekend temps.

Have a great day Central Coast!