Mild forecast through Halloween, the first days of November could bring rain to the region

Cool and partly cloudy skies in California
Posted at 4:37 AM, Oct 27, 2022
and last updated 2022-10-27 14:54:45-04

Good Morning Central Coast!

To kick off our day conditions are generally mild with limited marine fog (mainly in western SB county) and cool temps to kick off the day. Lows in the 30s are likely in the interiors with 40s elsewhere to start the day. In the early morning hours there is also a solid chance for some gusts up to about 25mph as we start the day, this is due to an atmospheric boundary pushing in from the north. Other than the winds it will not shift much in terms of our weather.

As soon as the sun rises and we get rid of the marine fog temps will raise into the 70s for the vast majority of the region 60s at the beaches.

These cooler-than-normal trends in temps we have faced in the last few days have been driven by a trof in the jet stream that has been pumping cooler air in from the north while also encouraging winds to push offshore. This pattern will reverse into a high pressure ridge today and will continue to see some afternoon gusts.

The overall atmospheric set up is shifting dramatically each day (and has been for a while) but most of the changes have been balancing each other out so little day to day change has been happening. As we get into the weekend temperatures will rise slightly.

Halloween is looking fantastic in terms of the forecast, temperatures near normal for this time of year and little to no wind. The one change for Halloween is cloud cover that is likely to push through the region Monday into Tuesday.

That cloud cover will be our first impacts from our next storm chances. Early next week a low-pressure system and trough dig into The West. Most (but not all) models agree on this system producing at least some impacts to the region.

For the Central Coast, the arrival looks like later Tuesday at the earliest but most impactful to folks on Wednesday. This doesn't look like a very wet system, more cool and windy with showers. Rain amounts should stay under .40" although with a system this far out that is nearly certain to change. This forecast will certainly be updated as the system develops and draws closer, so stay tuned.

Have a great day!