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Calm before the next system

Posted at 4:14 PM, Dec 05, 2019

A few scattered areas of drizzle and light showers today but generally just a partly cloudy day that clouded over in the afternoon. Clouds may clear partially Friday morning before becoming cloudy again later Friday when the next system will start to produce some showers.

The cold front with the next system will also crank up winds, southerly winds Friday night into Saturday should be around 15-25mph with locally higher gusts.

Showers will start Friday later in the evening but the heaviest rains should take place in the early hours Saturday morning into Saturday afternoon. Some activity will linger into the evening. Sunday is interesting because there will be cold air aloft left after the frontal passage and as we heat during the day we'll likely see showers resume. These convective rain showers have the potential to produce brief but heavier showers/rains.

The range for the storm is interesting. SLO county could see some areas with less than .25", this should be in the deeper interior and in the eastern portion of the county. NW SLO county at the beaches and near coastal areas could get as much as 2", for most of the rest of the area the range is .50-1.25".

In Santa Barbara county we'll likely see less rain. The range is .25-1", with some locally higher. This is another sub-tropically fueled system so snow levels are high near 7000 dropping to about 5500 by later Sunday.

Next week looks dry, there is a system passing to our noth Wednesday but I think it is too far north for local rain.