Higher winds thru the weekend with fire risks

Posted at 12:17 PM, Oct 18, 2019
and last updated 2019-10-18 20:51:46-04

Gusty north to northwest winds are expected to continue through Sunday, the with strongest winds expected Saturday night. There are a number of related advisories in place, including a red flag warning for Santa Barbara county.

The winds have wiped out the marine clouds and temperatures will be in the upper 60s at beaches Saturday with mid-70s for the coastal and interior valleys. Morning winds look lighter around the Central Coast in the morning hours but in the afternoon 15-25mph winds are expected so the highs occur by early afternoon for most. Not much change Sunday on temps.

A substantial warm up is on tap for Monday and Tuesday as an upper high and a weak Santa Ana combine to drive coastal valley temps in the the upper 80s and lower 90s. Only gradual cooling is expected Wednesday and Thursday but modeling is showing another potential warm period next weekend with offshore winds.

Surf is near 10 to 15 feet on west and northwest facing beaches today. Surf will gradually subside tonight through Saturday morning. There is a chance that the surf will remain near or above the high surf threshold of 10 feet through Saturday evening.

The next bit is a nice discussion about fire weather conditions from NWS Oxnard:

Northerly winds will persist across many portions of Southwest California today through Sunday, with peak gusts between 30 and 50 mph common.

These winds will affect southern and central Santa Barbara County and Central Coast. The strongest northerly winds will be over the entire Santa Ynez Range Saturday night into Sunday, when isolated gusts of 60 to 70 mph are likely (especially near Montecito Hills and Whitaker Peak). While humidities will generally remain above 20 percent across the higher mountains (where winds will be strongest) with moderate recoveries at night, humidities will generally lower to between 10 and 20 percent across downslope areas each day through Sunday. The combination of moderate to locally strong sundowner winds combined with low humidities and dry fuels has resulted in the issuance of the Red Flag Warning for the Santa Barbara south coast and mountains later this afternoon through

Sunday evening. There will be widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions for many other portions of Southwest California through Sunday due

to the northerly winds and areas of low humidities.