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Offshore winds should get a boost

Posted at 4:38 PM, Feb 17, 2020
and last updated 2020-02-17 20:54:46-05

It is an interesting pattern: There is a weak disturbance moving through the northern part of the state, the overall impact will be to crank up the difference in pressure across the area later today and another disturbance around mid-week will encourage the same offshore flow. The question about all of this is the strength of offshore event. Right now I don't think it reaches levels for a wind advisory.

As for temperatures, I think we are looking at numbers near average for much of the week (low to mid 60s at beaches with upper 60s and low 70s elsewhere).

Easily the most interesting part of the forecast is Friday and Saturday. Models are showing an upper low spinning up just off the Central or So Cal coast. It looks moisture starved but still should provide a threat of showers.

think there is a much better chance of showers in southern California than here. For now I am going with dry in the local forecast but might add showers if the track of the low is north enough. Early next week should get off to a dry start.

Long range modeling is still showing some hope for early March with potential for an "open" pattern where low pressure could drop through the area from the NW. Stay tuned, far too early to make bets on March.