Quiet work week but rain is on the horizon

Posted at 5:48 PM, Mar 02, 2020

Offshore winds are developing quickly in the wake of the weekend weather system that deposited a little rain for the Southcoast in Santa Barbara county but little to no rain for much of the Central Coast.

That low has tumbled into Arizona where it is still producing rain but for us the high pressure building in in the wake of the system will drive night and morning offshore winds and warming temps over the next few days. 70s return for most Tuesday.

Temps stay pretty stable Tuesday-Thursday, cooling a bit Friday.

Saturday we'll see out first chance of showers with a changing weather pattern. Right now it looks late in the day with a SW flow developing preceding a larger trough digging into the West. We are only talking light showers for those who see rain Saturday. Some lingering showers are also possible Sunday. Monday-Thursday next week could get much more active.

Current modeling shows a deep and strong trough with ample SW moisture supply into a strong area of low pressure. Tuesday-Thursday of next week could see several inches of rain. This has been a period of time that long range models staked out several weeks ago, now we are into better mid-range modeling and the same features are showing up. This far out it is fair to say the details will likely change but the potential is definitely there for the wet week we really need.

As we have discussed many times on KSBY, February was one of the driest on record locally (2nd place by my calculations with 1953 being #1 with no rain anywhere on the Central Coast).