Weather is starting to warm

Posted at 4:38 PM, Feb 06, 2020
and last updated 2020-02-06 21:03:06-05

Despite another cool start this morning the high pressure ridge over California is slowly moderating the airmass on us. The lows have slowly warmed but the daytime highs are already into the 60s and scattered 70s and that will continue for the next couple days.

Offshore winds during the night and morning hours will shift during the afternoon to the NW into Saturday. Other than high clouds to filter the sunshine skies will be mostly clear.

An upper level low backs into CA over the latter portion of the weekend and will crank up the NW winds Sunday and bring the temps down. Interior valleys will return into the 50s briefly and coastal temps fall back to the the lower 60s Sunday and Monday. Winds 15-30mph are possible Sunday. There is a slight chance of a sprinkle or two but the better chance would be the Southcoast and further south into SoCal.

In fact, a significant concern is if February will see much rain at all. A few models are showing a better chance of rain past mid-month BUT the American GFS model is showing mostly dry for the next 16 days.

If that ends up being right we better hope for a "miracle March" because the rain shortages will grow, we are already inches behind and since this is statistically the wettest part of the season those shortages will grow quickly now. Rain in March is common but becomes less likely after that.