Warm weather into next week and models finally give a better glimpse of rain

Posted at 4:41 PM, Nov 01, 2018

High pressure will still push temps close to the 90s Friday before relaxing a bit into the weekend producing a tiny bit of cooling but still 80s for most. Some night and morning marine clouds should return to the beaches and near coastal valleys next week otherwise mostly sunny with high clouds.

Templeton Evening Sky by Cecil Horton

Offshore winds in the night and morning hours, even gusting at times at some prone locations to 20+mph before turning back onshore in the afternoons over the next two days. Afternoon NW winds 10-20mph near the coast.

This air is also very dry so the overnight lows inland can even drop into low 40s yet still recover into the 80s to 90s. Beaches look to have 70s to nearly 80s potential for the next two days as well.

Nov 11th 10pm GFS Model Rain Potential

The new element in the forecast is a potential rain event 10 days from now. The American GFS has been suggesting a one-off event around the 15th, today’s run moved that up to the 10th or 11th. The idea is the same but the timing is different. I wouldn’t call it a wet pattern since there isn’t another system right on its heels but it is badly needed rain. I will continue to refine this forecast as we get closer to the rain event.