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Rain tapers off tonight

Posted at 4:08 PM, Nov 29, 2018

The cold unstable air associated with this storm system is moving over the Central Coast, this produced some pockets of heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening. This activity will slowly wane tonight into Friday morning. Not only will the rain taper off but the winds which produced advisories thru 9pm will also slow, a little. Breezy to windy conditions are expected again Friday but the winds shift out of the NW.

Even though the rain will end I expect to see areas of standing water. Please use caution traveling until we dry out a little bit.

I will post rain reports and high wind reports in a separate story and stick to the forecast here.

Another weak system is possible on Saturday. This system is looking minor at the moment with scattered light showers possible, not everyone will see rain from this event.

The current outlook for next week shows the storm door is open but the timing and intensity of upcoming systems is not clear. It could rain again as early as Tuesday. The EURO morning model run likes a system around 1″ of rain. The American GFS model likes Wednesday-Thursday with a nice looking system tumbling off the coastline, but looks like the type of system which has to be watched carefully… 50 miles of position of the low could mean the difference between getting very little rain or quite a lot. So, I’d day confidence is high that favorable conditions are there for more rain but low on the details at this time. The two models do like a 1+” rain event but it could be a little more impactful across southern CA than here. I will keep you updated as projections evolve.

With an active pattern in place temps will be below average into and thru next week.