Updated 10:49pm with latest video forecast and the wind advisory issued inland.
An atmospheric river supplied system has already produced showers for the Central Coast. This activity will pick up paceovernight with more moderate and occasionally heavy rain. Rain breaks off to on and off showers Saturday and those showers may also linger into early Sunday before we get a break in the weather.
While some light activity is possible earlier, most of the heavier rain really arrives after sunset tonight into early Saturday morning but lingering on-off showers into Sunday will slowly add to totals.
Snow levels with this system are very high locally, over 6000ft. There is a threat of thunderstorms with the system, especially on Saturday.
Thunderstorms are possible with the storm system late tonight into Saturday, this outlook map is from the Storm Prediction Center.
S-SE winds 15-25 with higher gusts develops after midnight with interior and higher elevation winds 20-30mph gusts to 45mph…I'd expect a wind advisory in those locations to get posted later.
Update (10:49pm)…as I expected the wind advisory was posted this evening.
I expected this one. A wind advisory for the interior and higher elevations as the storm system closes in. 20-30 with gusts to 40-50 developing after 11p
Winds will also pick up after midnight at 15-25mph with gusts to 30-40mph and possibly higher at higher elevations inland.
The range for rain in our forecast is still .50-1.5" with locally higher amounts possible.
Rain totals with this system should range between .50-1.5″ with some locations up to 2″ in the area mountains.
A potentially stronger storm arrives Tuesday PM into Wednesday including the atmospheric river connection.
Longer range.. the middle of next week another "Atmospheric River" AR event is possible Tuesday into Wednesday with…
1-3 additional inches of rain is possible and perhaps even more and winds could top 40mph. Lingering rain showers are possible on Thursday with increasing northwesterly winds and clearing expected Friday into Saturday.
Another storm is possible around March 11th and 12th.