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Showers return tonight with a slight thunderstorm chance

Posted at 5:51 PM, Mar 19, 2019
and last updated 2019-03-19 22:49:15-04

A low pressure system off the coast has been pushing in clouds all day and showers become more likely by the hour. Most of the activity looks light but there are slight chances of thunderstorms later tonight and early Wednesday.

Total amounts of rain with the system look to be between .10-75″ with the highest amounts most likely at higher elevation or near where any thunderstorms form. Showers are most likely tonight and early tomorrow with a bit of afternoon activity Wednesday before a quiet period Wednesday night. A round of light showers is also possible early Thursday with another piece of energy moving thru but most of the daylight hours Thursday look dry outside a few scattered showers with higher elevations in area hills in the afternoon.

South winds tonight are 15-25mph but become more W-NW later Wednesday and diminish to about 10-15mph. 10-12ft surf will also develop later tonight thru Wednesday and a high surf advisory has been posted beginning tonight at 10pm.

Snow levels look to be 6000ft lowering to 5000 and a few inches is possible above that level.
Friday looks rain-free, with temperatures creeping up closer to normal as a weak ridge forms aloft. Locally breezy west to northwest winds should continue.

The extended forecast is a bit of a challenge, to me it looks like the next few rain opportunities remain north thru the weekend but they’ll need to be watched for position as we near that window. One model shows a dying front on top of us Saturday for clouds and possible sprinkles, leaving it as a mention for now. The next interesting time-frame is about Tuesday next week, another system is in the neighborhood but also looks north but rain should creep south Wednesday.

April could begin with a larger storm. It is too speculative this far our but some models show the chance.