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Wednesday night into Thursday rain could be impressive

Posted at 3:53 PM, May 14, 2019
and last updated 2019-05-14 21:05:58-04

We are still in the calm before a larger storm Wednesday night into Thursday. The weather much of Wednesday will see increasing clouds and winds later in the afternoon. While a few showers are possible before the evening it is much more likely that heavier rains hold off until Wednesday evening into Thursday.

Dave Hovde-KSBY

While a few showers could precede this main band.. this is best timing for the heavy rain potential: later Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. Some lingering rain thru Thursday. Thunderstorms…

The low pressure system on the way is a winter-style system with strong support from upper level winds. This will turn surface winds SW in the afternoon and evening priming the pump for larger rain potential.

Rain with scattered thunderstorms are expected with cold air aloft with the system. The bulk of the system will move thru Wednesday night into Thursday morning but lingering showers Thursday are possible with thunderstorms less likely but not entirely ruled out.

Dave Hovde-KSBY

The range on this storm: .50-2″ with some exceptions above and below the range. Best chances for higher rainfall: S-SW facing slopes but thunderstorm potential also creates high variability in rain…

The range of rain potential with the storm range from .50-2″ The heaviest rain potential is near the coast and coastal SW facing hills.

After the stsyem departs NW winds 15-25mph are expected with partly cloudy skies.

Dave Hovde-KSBY

CRAZY MAY: After this system there is a rain chance Saturday and then THIS possible storm early next week (Tuesday). Long range models could change but they have been pretty good recently. This…

Interestingly there is still another chance of rain Saturday night into Sunday morning, but much lighter and still ANOTHER possible next Tuesday. The system next Tuesday also has larger potential in the 1″ inch range. This much activity in May is rare.