Frost and freeze conditions are likely tonight inland and rain is still in the forecast for next week

Posted at 4:46 PM, Nov 03, 2022
and last updated 2022-11-03 19:46:52-04

This week the Central Coast saw a little splash-and-dash rain system, most of the area didn't even get to a tenth of an inch while on the high side some mountain locations were between .25-.45".

That's not much for an area locked in a long-term drought.

The U.S. Drought Monitor update was released today and there was no week-to-week change. 100% of the state is still in drought with the Central Coast experiencing the 3 worst categories: severe (at the coast), extreme (in the coastal valleys) and exceptional (in the interior).

The first concern ahead of us is the overnight lows into Friday morning. Yesterday's freeze watch has been replaced by a freeze warning in the interior of SLO county with frost advisories in effect for the Cuyama Valley and the Santa Ynez Valley. The freeze warning implies overnight lows as cool as the mid to upper 20s are possible and also that temps could stay below 32 for an extended period of time potentially damaging or killing sensitive plants.

Pipes also need to be monitored and hypothermia is a risk for people who are exposed too long to the cold temps. The frost advisory is a lower level cold temperature advisory. There is still a risk of plant damage but the lows are not as likely to be as cold nor last as long at sub-freezing conditions.

There is one other advisory in place: a wind advisory for Santa Barbara county's passes, canyons and mountains. N winds 20-30 with gusts to 45mph are likely until 3am Friday morning.

The temperature recovery Friday is actually pretty good: after lows near freezing for some high generally get into the mid-60s (away from beaches).

Saturday likely even sees some 70+ degree highs but a cold front does look to brush the area late. Sunday is a little cooler with more clouds.

Monday conditions get more active with a large system rolling in, likely in the PM though it is early to nail exact arrival times. Monday into Wednesday looks wet on a number of computer models and all agree that .50-2+" of rain is possible for the Central Coast.

This will also be an impactful system elsewhere, please check the KSBY Microclimate Weather App for forecasts outside the area.

After the system kicks out Wednesday we look quiet into the following weekend.

Note: Yes, rain is likely on election day, please think ahead if you vote in person or plan on dropping a ballot. Extra time may be necessary.